New Research ‘Shoots Down’ Concealed-Carry Claims (and rebuttal)
Here is an article preview of upcoming anti-gun “research”.
http://www.jointogether.org/gv/news/features/reader/0%2C2061%2C555015%2C00.html
Below is a response from our friend and crime research expert, Randy.
Thank you Randy!
Hi, Everyone
First, I would suggest that all of you read the new “study”.
The new “study” was conducted, IIRC, by researchers who
didn’t like Lott’s results when they were first published.
Those researchers decided to conduct a study which would
“disprove” Lott’s study. As you may know, one who intends
to disprove a study can usually find some combination of
methodology and datasets that “prove” their refutational
theory. Read their new “study” and you will see numerous
ways that they manipulated the process to reach a
predetermined result.
One of the manipulations was the counting of only 3 years
after the new CCW/Self-Defense-Permit laws went into effect,
compared to 8 years previous. This changes the weighting
and the timeline.
Another was the statement by the current “researchers” that
Lott’s conclusions “collapse” if the Lott data and
methodology are “tweaked” somewhat. Why “tweak” it? Why
not use the results as they stand without manipulation?
Obviously, to get the desired results.
They also cited a national monetary burden of $0.5 to 1.0
Billion per year caused by CCW’s. Now, let us assume,
despite all the real-world evidence, that this is a true
figure. There are approximately 200 million law-abiding
adults in the U.S., so the monetary losses could be made
whole if every citizen paid $2.50 to $5.00 into a general
damages fund; or more narrowly, each CCW/SDP carrier would
pay $25.00 to $50.00 per year. I personally would find such
a nominal payment to be worthwhile, if it were necessary,
but of course it is not necessary since their calculations
are based on a “Cost Only Analysis”. In reality, society
should pay at least that much to each of us for the
crime-control function that we serve.
However, even this highly prejudiced “study” has two
interesting results:
1. Without “tweaking” the data, the researchers found that
there were rarely any significant data indicating any
problems with the issuance of CCW’s. In other words, the
worst that happens with shall-issue CCW is a steady trend of
violence. If we have nothing to lose, we might as well go
ahead with shall-issue CCW.
2. Even using their stacked deck, the researchers found that
some states SHOULD implement CCW immediately, because the
violence reduction effect would be significant. Among those
states is California.
If anyone has other information, please let me know.